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Super Rugby Round 3 Findings 16 views 5 Comments
10 March 2012 by The Swede Eaters
 

Scotty Donaldson looks at the Super Rugby Round 3 findings suggesting that the Australian conference is weak and that there were close to being two Saturday upsets which showed how much a referee can decide a match.

Australia has the weakest Super 15 Rugby conference and this was evident in Round 3 where the least fancied New Zealand side the Hurricanes thrashed the Force on Friday night and then the bottom placed South African team the Cheetahs got so close to winning in Australia against Australia's third best team the Brumbies. The home team was only saved by a last second scrum penalty awarded by New Zealand referee Keith Brown.

The teams from New Zealand and South Africa have an unfair disadvantage because they beat each other in really physical rugby matches. As a punter of some repute, picking the New Zealand results is an absolute nightmare because all five teams can beat each other. South Africa has three really good teams in my opinion, but the Cheetahs and Lions look capable of picking up some wins over Australian teams. The pressure goes on as the bottom placed South African team could be replaced next year by the Southern Kings. Australia has two good teams in the Reds and Waratahs. Sure the Brumbies are unbeaten, but they have only narrowly beaten the pathetic Force and worst South African team, the Cheetahs in Australia. Teams play each other team from their own conference twice, that is six easy matches for the Reds and Waratahs against the Force, Rebels and Brumbies. It also means they are less battered and bruised for when they make the finals. Therefore, the Reds should be hot favourites to win the Super Rugby title again because they should top the Australian Conference and get an easier draw to host the final. I think the format is flawed in favour of the Australian teams.

This weekend I picked unlikely narrow wins for the Cheetahs and Waratahs and it was interesting to see the Cheetahs blow a 13 point lead and lose thanks to a last second penalty at an attacking scrum for the Brumbies. Interestingly a similar situation arose in the Highlanders vs Waratahs match, but it was the defending team, the Highlanders who got the penalty.

It is amazing how much kudos I would have got for picking both of these results, but I fell just short. The referees have the ability to determine the winner of a game!

http://www.superrugbytips.com/2012/03/super-rugby-round-3-2012-australia-is.html

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Tags: Super Rugby 2012



comment Comments (5)
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5 . deep 11 Mar 2012 09:36 PM
Would sure help if a few first names were thrown in to help out those not of the Bulls colours! Potgieter boys got mixed up.... all corrected. Nearly like calling 'Jones' from Wales, or 'Whitelock' from the Crusaders.

4 . HDBrekers! 11 Mar 2012 06:41 PM
did anyone at testrugby.com watch the bulls vs blues game? clearly not! you would have seen that jacques potgieter started for the bulls at flanker! yet you guys scored him as "did mot play in this round" lay off the crack guys! lol!

3 . The Swede Eaters 11 Mar 2012 04:03 PM
I was alluding to the impact a referee can have on a game. I thought the Cheetahs were unlucky to lose by a point, yet a similar situation occurred with three minutes left in Dunedin but the Highlanders got the penalty. I think the Highlanders did deserve to win though. It is crazy how a referee can influence rugby probably more than most other sports.

2 . ThorSA 11 Mar 2012 12:18 PM
The ref won the game for the Brumbies, awarding penalty after penalty for early engagement. The Brumbies engaged early time and time again and when the Cheetahs tried to meet them in the early engagement they were penalized.
Cheetahs should have won that game by 10 points.

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1 . Barcaldine Bunyips 11 Mar 2012 10:33 AM
That is some mighty praise heaped on yourself...by yourself. I thought you arguement as to why you got your predictions wrong was both unique and well thought out. The insight you showed to recognise that it wasn't your fault and that in fact the refs were to blame, I believe, may prove to be an earth-shattering paradigm shift in tipster excuses. Keep up the good work.

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