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Super Rugby 2012 Preview - Who Are You Picking? 6 views 6 Comments
21 February 2012 by The Swede Eaters
 
Connected with: Wiki Player Sonny Bill Williams, Patrick Lambie

Scotty Donaldson picks his team to win Super Rugby 2012.

The 2012 Super Rugby season has quietly popped up without many people apart from the players and coaches really noticing it - but yes indeed it does start this weekend and for many rugby fans it's just as well given it comes at the end of one of the longer off-seasons in recent times.

Here are some tips on what will happen for this season - the first Super rugby season post World Cup in which the All Blacks are actually the reigning World Champions. On paper, in means, we may avoid the post World Cup lull that has resulted in initially lower audiences and crowds in New Zealand as we saw in 2004 and 2008.

In fact with rugby and the New Zealand sporting public on a high, we could be set for one of the better starts to the season. While there hasn't been much hype in Wellington due to the fact that the Hurricanes are on paper not going to be very good this season and because they start their season in South Africa, there has been hype elsewhere in the country including in Christchurch which hopes to host its first Super rugby game in nearly 2 years at the revamped Rugby League Park in Addington after of course missing out due to the devastating February earthquake last year.

And of course, the Highlanders will have a new home and will be the first Super rugby side to play most of their home games "indoors" thanks to their new state-of-the-art Forsyth Barr Stadium. Whether it means the Highlanders will turn into the Minnesota Vikings/Indianapolis Colts/New Orleans Saints of Super Rugby remains to be seen and one wonders if the indoor stadium could dilute Southern rugby's traditional values of hard-nosed forward-based rugby now that weather has effectively been taken out of the equation.

As usual, the pundits are all out for the Crusaders with the Blues in 2nd place. The Crusaders again have plenty of talent and given their form last year as well as the fact they're going to be back in Christchurch again, they must be everyone's favourites. They have the ability to get the best out of some players who would be considered average players in other teams.  Given that this competition runs for a total of 21 weeks, the next tier of players will need to stand up. 

The Blues should be tough but remain as risky a pick as ever - they have All Blacks galore but just don't quite have the consistency that the Crusaders have.  Success will depend on teams winning when not at the top of their game.

The Highlanders look to have the goods to push the Crusaders and Blues after a promising first season under Jamie Joseph and subsequent signings of Andrew Hore, Hosea Gear, Tamati Ellison, amongst many others. However, they are experiencing a bit of a horror injury list at the moment which will test their limited depth - although given the new format of Super Rugby this might be helpful later on with those players likely to be fresher later on than their peers. Belief is another questionable element here as the Highlanders should have finished in the top 6 but missed out when they appeared to hit the wall at the end.

Which leaves us with the Chiefs and Hurricanes. Dave Rennie has done wonders with Manawatu but needs a season or two to turn the Chiefs around - forward play has never been a strength of Chiefs rugby and work needs to be done there to ensure the talent of the backs is not wasted. One thing to look out for is the development of Aaron Cruden after a star turn at the World Cup as Dan Carter's unexpected deputy. Cruden looks well despite suffering a nasty injury in the Final against France and of course, Sonny Bill Williams.

As for the Canes, well expectation has been virtually zero with so many stars gone and Mark Hammett's Crusaderisation well under way. They have a tough start in South Africa but at least they get that done and dusted for the rest of the season. The problem is that they have so many inexperienced players that it will take a season or two to get the team winning again - which may mean crowd numbers won't be much better than last season's historic franchise low.

What about the Aussies and South Africans? Well, it's difficult to see the Reds maintaining their title challenge with Quade Cooper out till later in the season and now not so much the hot property he was prior to the World Cup. The Rebels could be the surprise team of the season with James O'Connor and Kurtley Beale now there and under the guidance of former Wallabies RWC winning coach Rod McQueen. The Waratahs should be there in the mix but don't expect too much from the Force or Brumbies though.

As for the Saffers, they will continue to be strong and it looks like the Stormers could be the team to beat from the Republic. The Bulls will be there but one wonders how they'll cope without now-Springboks coach Heynecke Meyer and an aging forward pack. The Sharks are a bit like the Waratahs and Blues - perennial playoff contenders and the progress of Pat Lambie will be interesting to see - he needs a big season to show that he can be the Springbok first five in June.

Another surprise package this season could be the Lions. The Currie Cup side won the title for the first time in many years under John Mitchell and it looks like things could be turning for the eternal wooden spooners. Now that the Gauteng side have figured out how to win, confidence is high and perhaps this could be the season where the Lions could challenge for a playoff spot. The same can't be said for the Cheetahs though who could be staring at being substituted by the Southern Kings in the 2013 Super Rugby competition if they can't lift beyond their current mediocrity.

My Picks
1. Crusaders
2. Blues
3. Stormers
4. Waratahs
5. Reds
6. Bulls
7. Sharks
8. Chiefs
9. Highlanders
10. Brumbies
11. Rebels
12. Hurricanes
13. Lions
14. Force
15. Cheetahs

Who are you picking to win Super Rugby 2012?  Which of the Super XV will triumph? 

www.superrugbytips.com


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comment Comments (6)
Rating:

6 . The Swede Eaters 24 Feb 2012 04:39 PM
I hope you are right about the Highlanders but they have heaps of injuries at the moment. Once they come right, they hopefully will peak at the business end of the season for a change!

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5 . Havok_nz 23 Feb 2012 07:40 PM
highlanders higher... crusaders lower... reds above waratahs... rebels lower... bulls higher... my top 4 would be Reds, Blues, Bulls and Cheifs based on the sqauds. But Blues will choke to 4th and cheifs will choke out of the top four, for the crusdaders, tahs or stormers to come in.

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4 . United XV 22 Feb 2012 08:56 PM
Johan Goosen. Buy him now. He could possibly have the same impact as Patrick Lambie did last year. Keep an eye on this young new Flyhalf from the Cheetahs.

3 . The Neptunes 22 Feb 2012 07:15 PM
Lions possibly winning the SA conference? really??

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2 . Barcaldine Bunyips 22 Feb 2012 05:06 PM
I can predict a winner. The Reds.

1 . Blackhen 22 Feb 2012 02:02 AM
Lions will be much higher on the list. Crusaders will not be 1st without Sonny Bill and starting the season without Carter and Richie? Blues should take it this year. Best Australian team will be the Reds as they get free 5pt's everytime they play brumbies/fore/rebels because Australia lack depth. And even the Reds wont do well considering they tour South Africa (arguably the most depth in teams) without Cooper who is their play maker. Bulls and Sharks will be above the Stormers after Stormers lost all mid field depth while cheetahs will end up being just below middle, new wonder boy flyhalf and running play style that killed the crusaders last year. and Lions possibly going to play-offs for winning SA conference. As for the Bulls aging pack, I suggest you look again? Stormers can't score tries and have too many 10's in squad. As for the Sharks you have them down to a tee. Flatter to deceive.

I can't predict a winner, but I can say who wont make it. Force, Brumbies, Waratahs, Highlanders, chiefs, cheetahs, Rebels, Hurricanes.


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